9:00 AM – 11:00 AM Actionable Research Results: Modeling COIN Warfare Registration & Coffee

In this workshop we will discuss recent advances in counterinsurgency modeling. Quantitative and formal models will be presented qualitatively. The goal is to describe the structure of such models, discuss their key factors and present possible insights that may be gained from implementing them.

What will be covered:

• Key stakeholders, processes and Human Social Cultural Behavior (HSCB) factors
• The dynamics of a COIN situation
• Steady-state behavior

How you will benefit:

• Get familiar with state-of-the-art models for analyzing COIN situations
• Open discussion concerning key COIN factors
• Gain a better understanding of operational-level cause-and-effect relations in COIN operations

Professor Moshe Kress
Operations Research Department
Naval Postgraduate School
Monterey CA

11:30 PM – 1:30 PM Big Picture Changes And Responsibilities: The Whole Of Government Approach: “Moving Beyond The Bumper Sticker Slogan To Coordinated Action”

Transitioning from the initial stages of COIN--Population Engagement--to Stability Operations and a viable state remains one of the biggest challenges in the conflicts in which we are engaged. The transition requires not only new Tactics, Techniques and Procedures, but also coordinated efforts between the U.S. military, Host Nation, and U.S. and international civilian agencies. This workshop will address the challenges and opportunities associated with this critical stage in COIN, and will explore how the United State can better prepare for the transition between military and civilian led operations.

What will be covered:

• What are the short and long term goals of COIN?
• What does stability operations mean for different stake holders?
• How can the United States better prepare for this transition process?

How you will benefit:

• Delegates will discuss and debate the short and long term goals of COIN, who does what, and how actions by stakeholders affect one another.
• Delegates will have the opportunity to interact with different stake holders in stability operations and strategize possible means of better coordination

Heather S. Gregg, PhD
Assistant Professor
Defense Analysis Department Naval Postgraduate School

1:30 PM – 3:30 PM Insurgents, Terrorists, and Militias: Understanding Armed Groups on Land and at Sea

• Strategic assessment of why and how armed groups fight
• The role of armed groups and the challenge in the maritime environment
• How they use the environment, tangible and intangible, to their advantage
• How they exploit seams in our coverage to their advantage
• A robust framework for assessing the challenge from armed groups
• What strategies they use and what strategies work against them

Dr. Andrea J. Dew
Co-Director of the Center on Irregular Warfare & Armed Groups, Associate Professor of Strategy & Policy
U.S. Naval War College

3:30 PM – 5:00 PM Trailing Edge Technology Solutions: A Paradigm Shift For The Design And Support Of COTS Products Employed In COIN Operations

With more and more PM Offices utilizing a suite of COTS products bundled in a weapon system, there has evolved new challenges in effectively addressing the management of the design and product support lifecycle stages; these challenges will have a direct impact upon the future of many COIN operations. A proposed solution to this challenge will be discussed; it is called a trailing edge technology-focused product lifecycle business model.

What will be covered:

• Examples of COTS products being employed in various missions
• The challenges of COTS products versus that of Developmental Items
• What is the concept of trailing edge technology
• How a PM Office would have to manage the lifecycle of a COTS product when employing trailing edge technology

How you will benefit:

• How to avoid providing the warfighter with COTS products that are technologically obsolete
• How to minimize acquisition and sustainment costs for COTS products
• How to reduce the impact of DMSMS issues for availability and cost

Ron Giuntini
Principal and Chief Executive Officer
Giuntini and Company. Inc.